When people invest their
savings in something, they assume the rates and the cost to be relatively fixed
and unchanging. No matter how theoretically sound this concept might seem to
you, for practical purposes, it is never so. And yet, people want something to measure their wealth and money’s worth against. This is where gold started becoming an extremely
traded commodity. The reason was obvious – gold doesn’t have that many uses and
yet, its demand remains more or less fixed.
People have always favoured gold when it comes to savings and assets. What is the reason for this? What is its most striking feature that gives it an edge over others? Other metals continue to be popular like American Silver Eagles, but gold’s dominance remains unchallenged. There are many reasons why gold is and should be preferred. The following points will explain it up –
- Stability – Historically speaking, gold has remained relatively stable as an asset and investment over time. When people say that certain asset has gained in modern times, they are a bit wrong because even though the asset has gained, the dollar fell, which brings you back to square one. There are times when dollar has made a small comeback, but if the bigger picture is seen, dollar has been on the decline. Gold doesn’t suffer from this problem.
You can obviously not take gold as an
exchange medium. However, since gold has remained relatively stable throughout,
you can determine the performance of other commodities by taking gold as your
base. After gold, the best metals are palladium, silver and platinum. But their
values are still not independent from the market and other factors because
these metals have their industrial uses, as well. Gold doesn’t.
2.
Overvaluation of Stock and Bonds – Bonds are overvalued because
interest rates are so low that no one is even interested in investing in them.
Even at times when yields are higher than the current ones, they should be
higher still, and bond continues to remain overvalued. This is because there is
too much uncertainty regarding flat currencies in today’s world. Venezuela recently
devalued its currency (by almost 40%) and experts suggest that US should try
the same way. After all, devaluation isn’t something new to the US.
Same goes for stocks which are
overvalued. If you go by stats, S&P 500 trades are considered to be safer
and fantastic buys and yet, even they aren’t as promising. At times when the
earnings growth is almost negative or barely adequate because of share
repurchase and cost cutting, the trailing earnings of S&P 500 are almost 20
times.
Even the dividend yield is lower where trade
value is almost 4 times the book value. If shares are cheap, their value always
stays just above their book value which is not the case here.
The
prevailing opinion regarding gold is pretty negative, which means that, people
should sell their overvalued stocks and invest in gold.
Author: Brenda Lyttle
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